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Post by Benoît Assou-Ekotto on Jan 2, 2011 11:12:35 GMT
Bet 1
Chelsea to beat Aston Villa Wigan to draw with Newcastle St Johnstone to draw with Inverness CT Albion to draw with Queens Park
Pays £68.
Bet 2
Chelsea to draw with Aston Villa Rangers to draw with Celtic East Fife to draw with Peterhead
Pays £67
Bet 3
Valencia to draw with Espanyol Benfica to beat Maritimo Sevilla to beat Osasuna FC Porto to beat Nacional Barcelona to beat Levante Athletic Bilbao to beat D Coruna
Pays £58
These look awful bets in hindsight but ultimately I am still confident this could be the start of a legacy tbh.
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Post by leanne on Jan 3, 2011 21:39:21 GMT
WTF Typed out my detailed and thoughtful tips and then lost them, can't be arsed typing it out all again so this week it'll just be the abridged version.
That said, most of the time and effort is involved in my painstaking research anyway,
There does some to be quite a bit of value this week. Famous last words of the gambler of course but nevertheless i think this week should continue our fine run.
BLACKPOOL TO BEAT BIRMINGHAM @ 7/5
Hard to see why the seasiders are so long to beat perhaps the worst team in the premiership.
Birmingham have yet to win away from home all season and the Tangerines have only lost twice at Bloomfield road,; to a last minute winner against blackburn in a game they bossed and to Man City in a game where the blue men of Manchester were heavily indebted to refereeing incompetence.
Blackpool haven't played at home for over a month but their travels have seen their ecelelnt season continue unabated and can celebrate their return with a comfortable victory.
NEXT BEST[/U]
NEWCASTLE TO BEAT WEST HAM @ 10/11
I know it was only against Wigan but Newcastle played with real verve and penetration last time up and anything close to that should see Victory on Wednesday night.
The darlings of the cockney press are flavour of the month again because they've managed to go four games unbeaten.
Not one of those games was against a team in the top half, they laboured to a draw against an out of sorts Everton and beat an injury hit Wolves team and the draw against Blackburn was hardly impressive either.
Don't listen to the 'too fackin' gud ta gahh dahhnn' nonsense.
West Ham are where they are because they don't have much quality. Green is playing well at the minute but liable to lose form, Upson isnt as good as the TCOTU press will tell you and Carlton COle is dreadful.
Scotty Parker is a decent player though, however Barton and Nolan should nullify his threat.
Sunderland to beat Villa @ 11/4
Villa did well to get a draw at Chelsea. However the TCOTUers are missing Wilkins guidance and Stamford BRidge is no longer the fortress it once was.
Villa have been bolstered by the return of their star man Ashley Young but Sunderland run a tight ship and can keep him contained; at the other end the atacking prowess of Richardson, Wellbeck, Gyan and a rejuvenated Bent can cause no end of problems.
11/4 is a fine price indeed.
Lay United @ 1/3 Elsewhere I still think United need to be opposed as their 'luck' has to run out sometime, also Stoke are in fine fettle and should be able to frustrate United, particularly as the red devils are still missing several key players.
WE also saw last time round the United's depth isn't that great and if they choose to rest players then Stoke could have the personnel to take advantage.
Can't see him playing Neville agians after Etherington merked him at the Britannia Stadium but MAcheda instead of Berbatov, Evans instead of Rio, Fabio instead of Evra, Fletcher instead of Nani etc etc and United are severely weakened.
Perhaps this a game to see what United's line up is before betting as opposing United at Old Trafford this season has not been a profitable path....
Everton to beat Spurs @ 17/1
Probably a case of heart ruling head but Everton's trikers have to start scoring sometime.
Also Spurs have won their last three games and not many teams have won four games premiership games in a row.
AND! Everton have a pretty good record against Spurs at Goodison in recent years. I expect nobody will want to back them though.
Liverpool are probably still to short at Blackburn but they are fairer than they have been in recent weeks and there's more value elsewhere.
Arsenal & Man City
More than 2.5 goals @ 10/11
Quite fancy Arsenal but their 'soft centre' tempers my enthusiasm. As both teams are probably stronger up front than at the back the best bet is probably to back the goals.
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Post by leanne on Jan 4, 2011 22:38:32 GMT
fuck off blackpool
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Post by leanne on Jan 4, 2011 22:41:11 GMT
To be fair they did have 13 shots on target and were incredibly unlucky, i should be cursing the gods of gambling tbh.
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Post by henry on Jan 4, 2011 23:34:24 GMT
No you failed to realise that Alex McLeish had made tactical adjustments for Blackpool in the home game and so didn't realise he could do it again.
Blackpool were only unlucky not to draw (I streamed that shit), we killed them the first 20 minutes, the game should have been out of sight for us if we had premiership standard finishers, rather than a premiership standard athlete. And even when they eventually started to get back into it, we had the better chances (hit the post twice ffs one of them as an open goal)
yes on current form, against 442 Brum, Blackpool would have won the game, so i understand the tip
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Post by leanne on Jan 5, 2011 22:31:06 GMT
Powerful tipping once again.
A return of over 30% to level stakes, even rolli doesn't make that on his stocks and shares. Reinvest the winnings and get the same return every week and you would see a return of £85,000 at the end of the year - if you were to start with £100.
Blackpool were unlucky, United were ONCE AGAIN flattered by their victory and the City tip, in hindsight, was fucking ridiculous given their 'previous' in the big matches.
Stay tuned folks, this year is going to be a great one.
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Post by henry on Jan 5, 2011 23:17:43 GMT
lol good calls (Blackpool were not unlucky)
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Post by henry on Jan 5, 2011 23:21:47 GMT
i mean they didn't even draw ffs, blackpool were unlucky not to have luckily held out for a point but from minute one brum deserved to win and did
having said that think backing blackpool at southampton the weekend is great value (do a combination of blackpool and over 2.5 goals and you get 5/1)
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Post by brad on Jan 6, 2011 1:20:06 GMT
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Post by henry on Jan 6, 2011 7:53:37 GMT
nailed on at the time though mate, think you'll beat Stockport, you should do? Hope me saying that isn't the kiss of death
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Post by henry on Jan 6, 2011 8:20:11 GMT
Caveats to this weekends bets
*priorities
blackpool - although i think its ridiculous that they aren't favourites against Southampton, their priority is still survival and they've got a midweek prem game against Liverpool they could get vital points from, they may make lots of changes - i'm still backing them though
birmingham - are actually still in a cup they could actually win (they won't Arsenal will) and have a game on Tuesday, priority is definitely survival
QPR - priority is promotion, blackburn will want a further home confidence boost, won't be suprised if warnock makes more than a few changes and blackburn win
Early calls Arsenal -1 goal, Tottenham -1 goal they should both win their ties easily Man yoo, Newcastle, Watford (two in form sides though, last weekend aside), Swansea, Coventry, Blackburn,
Scunthorpe are dreadfull at home and in many cases have conceeded 2 or more at home, I think Everton could give them a spanking to be honest. Everton & over 2.5
Barnsley, Brighton, Bristol city, Midlesbrough, Forest, Villa
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Post by brad on Jan 6, 2011 12:16:14 GMT
nailed on at the time though mate, think you'll beat Stockport, you should do? Hope me saying that isn't the kiss of death Stockport are fairly dreadful - although they've just sacked Paul Simpson. Generally speaking teams always seem to go on a little run after getting rid of a manager so I expect it to be tough although McDonald & Akinfenwa are THE strike force in L2 so i'm hopeful Plus I've never seen us lose at Edgeley Park so its nailed on
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Post by brad on Jan 6, 2011 12:21:14 GMT
From the lower reaches
Oxford to beat Aldershot Bradford to beat woeful Barnet Brentford to beat Yeovil Leeds to beat sCUNThorpe
Easy winnings
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Post by leanne on Jan 6, 2011 12:30:14 GMT
nailed on at the time though mate, think you'll beat Stockport, you should do? Hope me saying that isn't the kiss of death Stockport are fairly dreadful - although they've just sacked Paul Simpson. Generally speaking teams always seem to go on a little run after getting rid of a manager so I expect it to be tough although McDonald & Akinfenwa are THE strike force in L2 so i'm hopeful Plus I've never seen us lose at Edgeley Park so its nailed on This talk of Stockport has reminded me of this fruitloop i met once. He's a black chap from manchester who got pissed off with all his mates going on about city and united but never going... this, inexplicably, prompted him to find out who was bottom of the league. It was Gillingham so he decided to support them instead. He says he goes to all the local games so if you see a fairly short, light skinned black guy with a Manc accent it will be 'D'. 'D' stands for Dave but don't call him Dave. HE doesn't like it.
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Post by henry on Jan 6, 2011 12:35:21 GMT
i was unsure about Bradford cause Peter Taylor was supposed to have been leaving (think he's stayed put) and i saw the effects of Micky Adams leaving Vale (apparently players were in tears lol) so totally agree with Bradford, him staying will be a boost and i don't understand why they don't win every game they play they look good in highlights.
Aldershot let me down the other day so would love to see them lose, just think they have some good players in the Morgans -although the ones been excommunicated, what a fucking idiot. That's a no bet for me because it'd be a revenge bet although without Morgan they should be poorer again.
I was thinking Dagenham to beat Rochdale (just think Dagenham are unlucky and Rochdale lucky, can see Dagengam start picking up vital points)
Tranmere to beat Walsall (no manager at walsall, been in an awful rut and it'll continue until a new face is in)
Exeter to beat MK Dons (Dons are in very good form convincing few wins recently but are very poor away and Exeter are quite good at home)
Gillingham to beat Stockport (sorry Brad)
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Post by brad on Jan 6, 2011 12:40:52 GMT
Stockport are fairly dreadful - although they've just sacked Paul Simpson. Generally speaking teams always seem to go on a little run after getting rid of a manager so I expect it to be tough although McDonald & Akinfenwa are THE strike force in L2 so i'm hopeful Plus I've never seen us lose at Edgeley Park so its nailed on This talk of Stockport has reminded me of this fruitloop i met once. He's a black chap from manchester who got pissed off with all his mates going on about city and united but never going... this, inexplicably, prompted him to find out who was bottom of the league. It was Gillingham so he decided to support them instead. He says he goes to all the local games so if you see a fairly short, light skinned black guy with a Manc accent it will be 'D'. 'D' stands for Dave but don't call him Dave. HE doesn't like it. I'll keep an eye out on Saturday - since I only really do the northern games anyway I think I've seen him at a few. It's been a while since we've been bottom of any league mind Bradford aren't great to be honest, they were playing a CB (Luke Oliver i think) upfront for most of the season. They do have Daley back though, who is mint at this level. I always expect them to sneak into the playoffs.
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Post by leanne on Jan 6, 2011 13:50:59 GMT
BREAKING NEWS[/color]
There will be no tips this weekend.
The 3rd round of the Cup is not a good time to get involved and is bonus week for the bookies.
Don't know the likely line ups or the motivation of the players/managers.
That said i do like Gillingham at odds against to beat Stockport.
Stockport have won only once at home and concede an average of two goals a game.
Actually that will be my tip.
£10 on that will keep me interested.
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Post by henry on Jan 6, 2011 15:05:45 GMT
have a quid on Grimsby to beat Wrexham too mate, if you're into backing form, they've destroyed the last two sides they'ved played
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2011 15:13:36 GMT
I was gonna slap £20 on Arsenal & City to draw last night
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Post by henry on Jan 6, 2011 15:15:31 GMT
online? The way Arsenal started you would have had to spend a 10 backing them live, they started so well it looked like they'd rape them.
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